Super Bowl XLV Over Under Pick and odds
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Green Bay Packers – O/U 44.5 total points
The Steelers and Packers are providing high powered offenses during the playoffs. The Steelers are averaging 27.5 points for during the playoffs while the Packers are averaging 30 points per game. Neither team has scored less than 21 points in either of their 5 combined playoff games.
The Steelers strength is their run defense, but the Packers love to throw the football because they have one of the best quarterbacks in the league with an assortment of weapons in Greg Jennings, James Jones, Donald Driver, and Jordy Nelson. Rodgers has shown time and time again that he doesn't need the run game to produce, as the Packers leading rusher, Brandon Jackson, finished with just 703 yards rushing.
The Steelers have also been on a roll of late, as they rode Rashard Mendenhall past the Ravens in the divisional round, then were also able to ride their quarterback against the Jets in the Championship round. The Steelers have two ways to hurt you, and also have various weapons to hurt the Packer defense. Many of the same pieces are in play from 2026s 37-36 showdown where Roethlisberger threw the last second touchdown, and passed for 504 yards.
My Pick: I expect this game to be a fairly high scoring game, and just squeaking past the over, with potential to be an even higher scoring game.
Final: Packers 24 Steelers 21
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