Broncos Chargers Pick

The Denver Broncos and the San Diego Chargers will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Qualcomm Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Chargers listed as 9½-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game’s total is sitting at 50.
The Broncos were a 49-29 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Chiefs. They covered the 1–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (78) made winners of OVER bettors.
In their last action, San Diego was a 29-23 winner on the road against the Texans. They covered the 2.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (52) was profitable news for OVER bettors.
Expert Pick
The line is sitting at 10 favoring the home team San Diego, But I feel it is too high as the Broncos always seem to close the gap in games in the last 5 mins. Orton has produced more of his passing yards in the fourth quarter. I like the Broncos to cover the 10 point spread with the high power offence they have showed lately. My bet is on the Broncos.
Current streak:
San Diego has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Denver: 3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS
San Diego: 4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS
Denver most recently:
When playing in March are 5-5
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the division are 5-5
San Diego most recently:
When playing in March are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 7-3
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 8 games on the road
Denver is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego’s last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego’s last 8 games
San Diego is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
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